Does Las Vegas have Too Much?

What did SGA see that the rest of the town didn’t and doesn’t? As the Fool explains, “There are around 30 casinos on the Las Vegas Strip, about two dozen more nearby (such as on Fremont Street), and dozens more elsewhere. Yet with so many gambling halls available and so few people to fill them, casino operators could delay their recovery by continuing to operate them all. Perhaps the new normal for Vegas should be fewer casinos.”

Bitcoin: Zero to Infinity

So, what does the McLaughlin Group, the real thing led by the late John McLaughlin or SNL’s led by Carvey, have to do with the price of...well..Bitcoin. It just so happens to be the extraordinary massive spread between what the cryptocurrency’s price could fall to...zero, and how high the creme de la creme of crypto coin could go to….infinity!

Booms Don't Repeat, but do Rhyme

Speaking to corporate financial officers, Saylor said eventually no one will ever sell their Bitcoins, because it would be irrational to do so. Bitcoin will continue to appreciate while any U.S. dollar debt incurred will be depreciated away by the Fed’s money printing.

Stagflation Cometh

Money velocity is the result of the equation: price level times aggregate real value of transactions in a given time frame divided by total nominal amount of money in circulation on average in the economy. Murray Rothbard scathingly wrote, “But it is absurd to dignify any quantity with a place in an equation unless it can be defined independently of the other terms in the equation.”

Infinite Confidence

Financial complexity has far outstripped the knowledge and imaginations of central bankers. Same think, group think, derivatives and herd mentality have caused markets to far overshoot reasonable valuation. Citigroup Inc.’s chief U.S. equity strategist Tobias Levkovich “panic/euphoria” index illustrates the point. On this measure, euphoria is its highest on record, exceeding even the tech bubble, reports Bloomberg.

Fed Fiddles While Dollar Burns

It’s no secret Mr. Putin initiated the strategy to “de-dollarize” Russia’s economy. The yellow metal is now the second-largest component of the central bank’s reserves after the euro, which make up a third of its reserves. Chinese yuan reserves make up 12 percent.

Tweeting "Fire"

Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and social media company XYZ own the platforms that Trump communicates from and these firms have every right to accept and reject users as they see fit. Even in the case of the person who yells “fire” in a crowded theatre, that person “has no right to do so because he is aggressing against the contractual property rights of the theater owner and of the patrons of the performance,” Rothbard wrote.

The Upside of Lockdowns

Rosenberg’s first line sounds like John Maynard Keynes’s “Paradox of Thrift” theory which claims that personal savings are a net drag on the economy during a recession. The second line sounds more like Ludwig von Mises, who wrote, “Capital is not a free gift of God or of nature. It is the outcome of a provident restriction of consumption on the part of man. It is created and increased by saving and maintained by the abstention from dissaving.”

Low Rates, Limited Liability, Hot Markets

Referring to Dizard’s FT piece in a series of tweets just after Christmas, Bank analyst Chris Whalen said, “"With 30-year conventional mortgage rates closing in on 2.5% APR and the FOMC buying 1.5% MBS coupons as part of quantitative easing, this is a good time to take cash off the table in IMBs and REITs, and go buy a well-located residential home."

Negative Rates Path to Natural Poverty

ADG consulted interest rate historians Sidney Homer and Richard Sylla who opined “nominal negative yielding debt had never been seen in material size in the 4,000 years of interest rate history prior to the current cycle.” Economist Ludwig von Mises never imagined such a thing,

Rich Millennials Plot the End of Civilization

“He wants to put his inheritance toward ending capitalism,” Zoë Beery wrote for the NYT, “and by that he means using his money to undo systems that accumulate money for those at the top, and that have played a large role in widening economic and racial inequality.” Wow, that is some self-loathing. If only Ludwig von Mises were able to counsel young Jacobs, whose grandfather founded Qualcomm, and is set to inherit $100 million. In his book Epistemological Problems of Economics, Mises wrote, “Through all the changes in the prevailing system of social stratification, moral philosophers continued to hold fast to the fundamental idea of Cicero’s doctrine that making money is degrading.”

Central Banks Put Wind at Bitcoin's Back

In investmentland, it’s “Bitcoin, Bitcoin, Bitcoin,” again knocking on dollar door number 20,000, where it ventured in late 2017. Bloomberg’s November 21st edition features this flashy headline sure to inspire FOMO (fear of missing out) the predecessor of the more quaint Keynesian Animal Spirits

Judy, Judy, Judy

Trump’s lady in waiting for the Federal Reserve, Judy Shelton, is losing Republican support by the day. The Washington Post unleashed its comeliest columnist, Catherine Rampell, to finish off Ms. Shelton, who’s primary negative is her past support for the gold standard, and her questioning the need for the central bank at all.Adherents of the Austrian School of Economics have been cuckoo for Shelton for those very reasons, but, Ms. Rampell describes the Fed nominee as “a demonstrably unqualified partisan quack.”